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That is 3. However it is better to use in baccarat than roulette, just because of the lower house edge. Is that it? He planned to make an even money bet anyway. Also keep in mind you could win a hand late in the series and still come out behind because of the commission. However, if you play long enough you almost can't help but notice unusual events like this. The big losses might also come at the beginning. Show me someone who is winning at a fair game of roulette and I'll show you somebody who is just lucky, and will likely lose it all back. I measure the value of a bet to be the expected return, not the probability of winning. The table below shows the probability of 50 to 70 successful spins. Thanks alot! First of all the standard deviation on any even money bet is 0. Best wishes Johan. I have no problem with you trying them out but I do have a problem with anyone putting one dime in the pockets of those selling them. I don't know much about devices to clock wheels, except they are known to exist and be used from time to time. The sixth commandment is "never hedge thy bets. Yet I never hear of this happening. There have been some strong cases of cheating made against online casinos but no governmental authority has ever convicted anyone to the best of my knowledge. It is usually a rogue dealer who is caught by casino security. You make a valid point. He is just lucky. Cheating does occur in real casinos. This is true, however the probability of a substantial loss is also much greater. For example, the probability of 60 or more successful spins is 2.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} See my Ten Commandments of Gambling. Same is true about spins. Not quite. The more times he makes it the greater weight his claim will have. Both these methods have the same total expected return of In your observations you have likely seen fewer than expected occurrences, which accounts for the illusion that this method is winning. So the best I can do is advise them how to play their game of choice. My opinion about these systems is the same as all systems, they are worthless. As I have said thousands of times, no betting system can pass the test of time. If you only play for one spin and want to maximize your probability of winning then bet equally on 35 of the numbers. Brad from Sydney, Nova Scotia. Furthermore it would take a great deal of skill to deliberately spin a ball into a specific section. If forced to bet and you want to minimize variance then you should bet all 38 numbers. The true way to put a system to the test is to play it over billions of trials. With high volatility bets like single numbers the bell curve is wide, allowing for a much wider range of net results, both good and bad. The Martingale is dangerous on every game and in the long run will never win. All ranges are equal in expected value. Most systems are designed to have a lot of small wins and small number of large losses. The ball does not have a memory. It has been done lots of times. Here in Nevada such a device would be highly illegal. It seems you are trying to argue that single number bets are better because of the higher probability of finishing ahead over multiple bets. If you want to increase your chances of winning even more then bet on any 35 numbers. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}The same house edge as on every bet in double-zero roulette except the combination, which is 7. You are correct that option B has the greater probability of success, although the goal and the capital are the same. This does not nearly rise to the level of being suspicious. The probability of the player winning 8 times in a row is 0. I've heard of both these techniques being used. Furthermore casinos have nothing to fear from progressive bettors. However I have learned through the years that it is almost hopeless getting players to leave a game they like, regardless of how bad the house edge is. The probability of coming out ahead by flat betting even money bets over 1, , and spins is 0. For blackjack players there is still no shortage of 3 to 2 games out there. There are ways to increase your probability of winning, but at the cost of winning less relative to your total wager. There are lots of single zero wheels in Atlantic City. I've been saying for years that I think Argentina is a ripe target for that. I mean, beating these testbooks have to mean something And do you think I should try them out?? Risk of ruin questions are mathematically complicated. Did my waiting for 5 spins without a low number popping actually increase the chances of probability for a L to show up? Inside bets are those on the numbers, including groups of 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. So, you have You can expect a repeat once every 37 pairs of numbers. Thanks for the compliment. To answer your question, if forced to make just one even money type bet I would have chosen the banker bet in baccarat with a house edge of 1. A system requiring a huge bankroll can easily go spins and show a profit. Note : See the follow up to this question in the next column. So, with 36 numbers we have 35 pairs of numbers. Playing 6 to 5 is giving the casino an extra 0. So I see no inconsistency. The probability of coming out ahead by flat betting single number bets over 1, , and spins is 0. However had he taken a 10 minute ride to the Bellagio, Mirage, or Aladdin he could have made the bet on a single zero wheel which follows the European rule of giving half an even money bet back if the ball lands in zero. A good test would be to get somebody who claims to be able to influence the roll and have him attempt to land it in a particular half of the wheel as many times as possible over spins. Anyone can show a profit of 7. Over a session the expected results always fall somewhere on a bell curve. If the ball landed in odd times in a row on a fair wheel the odds that the next spin would be even are still the same as every spin, So it does not help that you can spin without betting. If the maximum loss is units then you can bet up to 8 times. Most of the time progressive bettors win, but the few that hit their bankroll limits pay for all the winners and then some more for the casino. So, at these wheels with full European rules his house edge would have been only 1. I also stress the importance of looking for single-zero roulette if you are a roulette player. There are usually two minimums in roulette. I think casinos with old wheels are the most vulnerable target. First, let me say this guy was a fool. The reason is the average amount bet in option B is less, thus your money is exposed to the house edge less, thus the probability of winning increases. You're just rehashing the gambler's fallacy. Eventually the losses will come in and it won't pass the test of time. Taking advantage of biased wheels I hear a lot more about. You can only skillfully beat roulette by advantage play, like exploiting a biased wheel, or clocking the wheel. If this could be done then dealers could easily conspire with players and share in the profits. So to answer your question there is no optimal range of numbers. This way I was not necessarily exposing my entire stake to the house edge, which increased my probability of winning. The house edge in 6 to 5 blackjack is 1. Outside bets are all even money bets, column bets, and dozen bets. No A single-zero wheel is used at Casino on Net. Have nice day.